French police and cybercrime investigators have launched an investigation into alleged interference with the equipment of the national weather service Météo-France, after abnormal temperature spikes at a weather station at Charles de Gaulle airport coincided with suspiciously successful bets on the Polymarket forecast market.
French police and cybercrime investigators have launched an investigation into alleged interference with the equipment of the national weather service Météo-France, after abnormal temperature spikes at a weather station at Charles de Gaulle airport coincided with suspiciously successful bets on the Polymarket forecast market.
Data from this station was used to calculate the results of a poll on the temperature in Paris in March and the first weeks of April, The Guardian reports.
The total volume of weather betting on certain days exceeded $500,000. Suspicion was aroused by an incident on April 15: three anonymous wallets earned more than $280,000 by betting that the temperature would reach 19 °C. That evening, the sensor reading unexpectedly jumped by 5 °C in a short period of time. One trader made $21,000 in profit by placing a bet just before the abnormal jump.
The situation has already become a source of jokes in Polymarket’s Discord communities. Users are sharing AI-generated images of people with hair dryers near the runway. «What did you do with the temperature sensor at Paris airport yesterday? Was your weapon a hair dryer or a lighter?» one user asked.
Météo-France confirmed that they had filed an official complaint with law enforcement. The service said the complaint was based on «physical manifestations on one of the devices and analysis of sensor data,» which directly indicates possible physical access to the equipment by unauthorized persons.
Polymarket has now changed its data source to the weather station at Le Bourget airport. Despite the investigation, the platform did not cancel suspicious contracts or refund money to bettors.
Recall that the US Department of Justice announced the arrest of Special Agent Gannon Ken Van Dyke, who is suspected of using classified information about the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to obtain more than $400,000 in profit from trading on Polymarket .
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) was previously at the center of a scandal over a change to its map of the war in Ukraine, which became the basis for betting on the Polymarke platform. The incident, which occurred in November, forced ISW to admit to interference that could have affected the financial results of betting on the market.
Previously, the developers of the PolyGlobe map, which visualizes bets from Polymarket with geolocation, had unauthorizedly used the API of the Ukrainian OSINT project DeepState. In this way, they wanted to improve the visualization of bets on the capture of Ukrainian cities by the Russians.
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