Ex-Google engineer: artificial intelligence will destroy humanity with a probability of 95%
The probability of humanity becoming extinct due to artificial intelligence (AI) is «at least 95%» if it continues on its current path.
The probability of humanity becoming extinct due to artificial intelligence (AI) is «at least 95%» if it continues on its current path.
The probability of humanity becoming extinct due to artificial intelligence (AI) is «at least 95%» if it continues on its current path.
This opinion was expressed by Nate Soares, a former Google and Microsoft engineer and now president of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, The Times writes.
«If we don’t change course, there’s almost no chance of avoiding death. We’re hurtling towards a cliff at 100 km/h,» he said.
Nobel Prize winner Jeffrey Hinton, mathematician Joshua Bengio, and the heads of OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google DeepMind agree with him.
They all signed a statement stating that «reducing the risk of human extinction due to AI should become a global priority alongside pandemics and the nuclear threat.»
Scientists are concerned about the possible emergence of superintelligent AI (ASI), capable of deception, planning, and out of control. Even now, AI can lie, and its internal processes are often incomprehensible to humans.
Some experts believe that the risk of not complete extinction, but of «gradual weakening» of humanity is also real: in a world where decisions are made by machines, there will simply be no place left for humans.
Meanwhile, Jeffrey Nielson, the «godfather of AI,» estimates the chances of AI at 10–20% within 30 years. Holly Elmore of PauseAI estimates 15–20% in the next 10 years and up to 75% in a 50-year perspective.

