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Access to the Polymarket prediction market platform will be blocked in Ukraine: what is known

The National Commission for the Regulation of Electronic Communications (NCEC) has issued a decision to restrict access to 198 websites that organize, conduct or provide access to gambling without a license. Among these resources is Polymarket, a crypto prediction platform where users place bets on the outcome of real events.

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Access to the Polymarket prediction market platform will be blocked in Ukraine: what is known

The National Commission for the Regulation of Electronic Communications (NCEC) has issued a decision to restrict access to 198 websites that organize, conduct or provide access to gambling without a license. Among these resources is Polymarket, a crypto prediction platform where users place bets on the outcome of real events.

This decision of the National Commission for the Development of the Economy, adopted on December 10, 2025, was the result of another decision - the PlayCity state agency dated November 27.

According to the document, providers of electronic communication information services are obliged to restrict access to all specified websites.

Due to the lack of an appropriate license that allows providing services in Ukraine, the Polymarket forecasting platform was included in the list.

Polymarket is a Manhattan-based predictions marketplace launched in 2020 by Shane Coplan. It accepts bets on a variety of events, from political races to economic indicators to even weather conditions. Participants can deposit USDC cryptocurrency through the platform and Polygon blockchain network and trade stocks that correspond to the probability of certain future outcomes.

On Polymarket, bets are placed not between the service and the user, but between the players themselves. And the probability of an event is determined not by the bookmaker's analysts, but by the price at which users are willing to buy or sell a stock.

For example, in November 2025, there were 97 bets on the Russian-Ukrainian war on Polymarket, totaling $96.8 million . The largest number of bets ($27 million) was placed on a bet on a ceasefire by the end of 2025.

This same month, it became known that Polymarket used the API of the Ukrainian OSINT project DeepState without permission to integrate with bets on the occupation of Ukrainian territory.

The following month, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) found itself at the center of a scandal over a change to its map of the war in Ukraine, which became the basis for betting on the Polymarket platform .

At the time of publication, access to the site https://polymarket.com/ is still open.

The betting market for the war between Russia and Ukraine on Polymarket was estimated at almost $100 million
The betting market for the war between Russia and Ukraine on Polymarket was estimated at almost $100 million
On the topic
The betting market for the war between Russia and Ukraine on Polymarket was estimated at almost $100 million
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